We've all heard that there are a billion people in China. Well, it's actually more like 1.34 billion, and while that may not seem like a big difference, consider the fact that the ENTIRE population of the United States is LESS THAN that ".34" billion we're quibbling about. Not so minor anymore, huh? That's right-- there are about 4 times as many people living in China as there are in America! Perhaps a random chart will help you grapple with this...
This is a visual of population growth in Europe and China, from 1650 - 2050. I realize this is Europe, and I was talking about America, but I reckon the data wouldn't be all that different. [Original chart is here: http://www.china-food-security.org/data/pop/pop_6.htm.]
Perhaps, like me, you have trouble wrapping your mind around these massive numbers. How on earth are we supposed to digest that kind of information? Our brains just can't fathom numbers that high; we have no real experience with sheer millions, we can't count it, we haven't seen it.
I would argue that the question should not be "how on earth?" but rather "where on earth?" The answer, unsurprisingly, would start here in Shanghai. Pete and I have read population estimates and census data placing Shanghai's overall metropolitan population at everything from 12 to 21 million people. That spread is the size of New York City (and then some)!
While we live in a neighborhood that is justifiably known as an expat bubble, we do get out and explore other areas of the city. Our nearby streets are tree-lined 4-6 lane-wide roads with bike lanes and huge roundabouts. We all live in 10-20 story apartment complexes with hundreds of families in each, but the green spaces and playgrounds are ample so it actually feels pretty suburban. In the center of the city however, people are compacted much more densely in tiny tenement-like apartments in snake-like alleyways. It's been nutty getting on the subway at rush hour. I'll have to take some photos for you. Save that for another entry...
But I digress from the point I wanted to make in the first place. Living here, the reality of this population boom is much more palpable to me than it ever was when we were merely researching the idea of living here. I'd taken a class in college on modern Chinese history and wrote a research paper on Mao's cultural revolution. Jung Chang's memoir, "Wild Swans," stuck with me for years. (I highly recommend it, by the way.) But above all, it was the one-child policy that simultaneously horrified and fascinated me. So, when we got here and all I saw everywhere I went was pregnant ladies, well, you can imagine my confusion!
According to the research, China is actually (supposedly) in somewhat of a demographic crisis as the population both ages and fertility rates drop below replacement levels. I.E. there are more older people AND women aren't having enough babies to replace themselves and their spouses. See here: http://www.economist.com/node/18651512 and especially this bit:
which basically tells you that there are going to be millions more people aged 65+ than there will be people aged 20-24 come 2020 and 2030. This has all kinds of repercussions in terms of the economy, food scarcity, water use, etc. But it is also kind of deceiving given ALL the pregnant women around currently.
Maybe the data is wrong. Maybe what is important is not sheer numbers but rather the ratio of the total population. I don't know, but it's something I'm randomly thinking about a lot recently, as I peddle my bike or walk the grocery store aisles and pass many Chinese women likely to have many Chinese babies.
About one in every 6 people on this planet are Chinese. Imagine those stats in your own life. If it's not a part of your reality yet, it likely will be at some point with globalization, etc. It's not a good thing or a bad thing but it ought to be something we consider. I don't have a clean ending for this post, and I realize I'm rambling more than I ought to and more than might be interesting for you. But China has definitely got me thinking! And, after all, that's one of the reasons we moved here.

